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It is predicted that the State Council Press Office will hold a press conference at 10 am on Monday, December 16th, 2024, and ask Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics and head of the National Economic Statistics Department, to introduce the national economic operation in November 2024 and answer questions from reporters.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.According to TASS news agency, Turkish President Erdogan said that if national security is threatened, Turkey will take action against Syrian terrorists.

Stock index futures continued to fall, and the main contract of SSE 50 Stock Index Futures (IH) fell by 2.00% in the day, and now it is reported at 2,653.6 points. The main contract of CSI 500 stock index futures (IC) fell by 2.00% in the day and is now reported at 5976.8 points.On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The real estate sector fluctuated and fell, and many shares such as gemdale fell by more than 5%. Qixia Construction once approached the daily limit, and many shares such as gemdale, Everbright Jiabao, Urban Construction Development, Shoukai Shares and Greenland Holdings fell by more than 5%.

On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Barclays: The Central Economic Work Conference released more signals of policy support, which was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The Barclays research team said that the Central Economic Work Conference provided more forward-looking guidance and released more policy support signals. Barclays said that on the whole, the meeting made it clear that "stable economic growth should be maintained next year" and emphasized "implementing more active macro policies" and "vigorously boosting consumption". The agency believes that regulators are more likely to introduce policies in a gradual manner. At the same time, when measuring the rhythm, scale and composition of the next round of measures, we should focus on the development and changes of real estate and stock market. Barclays expects that a more specific financial plan will be announced in March next year. In terms of monetary policy, the meeting proposed to implement a "moderately loose monetary policy". Barclays believes that this change in wording and position has released a positive signal, especially considering the current environment, it is expected that the central bank may cut interest rates significantly in the future. (SSE)On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)